I do apologize that it has taken me so long to get this blog out. It’s been a bit of a project for me because I’ve been looking at this from a lot of different angles, various opinions, and also looking back at situations where uncertain forecasts came into play. We talked a little bit about forecast uncertainty in snow forecasts in the last two blogs I posted in regards to Winter Storm Maya, but this blog will be a…
Let’s take a look at our recent winter storm, named Maya by The Weather Channel. As you may have read in my previous blog, this was quite possibly one of the most difficult snow forecasts, or really any forecast, that many of the meteorologists and those in the local weather community had ever seen. So many factors came into play with this particular set up, that even a one degree temperature difference would have meant cold rain instead of snow….
As you’ve probably seen over the last few days on TV and across social media, we do the dance with snowfall potential starting midday Superbowl Sunday, and it continues through midweek. The purpose of this blog is to break down the possibilities, and explain the how’s/why’s/what’s about the forecast. Let’s start by saying that this is one of the most difficult forecasts many of us have ever seen. There are so many factors that go into potential snow events like…